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HomeDietUltra-processed food linked to higher death risk – 30-year study

Ultra-processed food linked to higher death risk – 30-year study

A three-decades’ long study has concluded that although higher consumption of most ultra-processed foods is linked to a slightly higher risk of death, it found no associations for deaths due to cardiovascular diseases, cancer or respiratory diseases.

Ready-to-eat meat, poultry and seafood based products, sugary drinks, dairy based desserts as well as highly processed breakfast foods showed the strongest associations, said the researchers.

They added that not all ultra-processed food products should be universally restricted, but that their findings “provide support for limiting consumption of certain types of ultra-processed food for long-term health”, reports News-Medical.net.

Their findings were published in The BMJ.

Ultra-processed foods include packaged baked goods and snacks, fizzy drinks, sugary cereals, and ready-to-eat or heat products. They often contain colours, emulsifiers, flavours, and other additives and are typically high in energy, added sugar, saturated fat, and salt, but lack vitamins and fibre.

Mounting evidence links these foods to higher risks of obesity, heart disease, diabetes and bowel cancer, but few long-term studies have examined links to all cause and cause-specific deaths, especially due to cancer.

To address this knowledge gap, researchers tracked the long-term health of 74 563 female registered nurses from 11 US states in the Nurses’ Health Study (1984-2018) and 39 501 male health professionals from all 50 US states in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2018) with no history of cancer, cardiovascular diseases, or diabetes at study enrolment.

Every two years, participants provided information on their health and lifestyle habits, and every four years they completed a detailed food questionnaire. Overall dietary quality was also assessed using the Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 (AHEI) score.

During an average 34-year follow-up period, the researchers identified 48 193 deaths, including 13 557 deaths due to cancer, 11 416 deaths due to cardiovascular diseases, 3 926 deaths due to respiratory diseases, and 6 343 deaths due to neurodegenerative diseases.

Compared with participants in the lowest quarter of ultra-processed food intake (average three servings per day), those in the highest quarter (average seven servings per day) had a 4% higher risk of total deaths and a 9% higher risk of other deaths, including an 8% higher risk of neurodegenerative deaths.

The team did not find any associations for deaths related to cardiovascular diseases, cancer, or respiratory diseases.

In absolute numbers, the rate of death from any cause among participants in the lowest and highest quarter of ultra-processed food intake was 1 472 and 1 536 per 100 000 person years, respectively.

The association between ultra-processed food intake and death varied across specific food groups, with meat, poultry, and seafood based ready-to-eat products showing the strongest and most consistent associations, followed by sugar sweetened and artificially sweetened beverages, dairy based desserts, and ultra-processed breakfast food.

And the association was less pronounced after overall dietary quality was taken into account, suggesting that dietary quality has a stronger influence on long term health than ultra-processed food consumption, note the authors.

This is an observational study, so no firm conclusions can be drawn about cause and effect, and the authors point out that the ultra-processed food classification system does not capture the full complexity of food processing, leading to potential misclassification.

In addition, participants were health professionals and predominantly white, limiting the generalisability of the findings.

However, this was a large study with long follow-up, using detailed, validated, and repeated measurements, and results were similar after further analyses, providing greater confidence in the conclusions.

The researchers stress that not all ultra-processed food products should be universally restricted and say oversimplification when formulating dietary recommendations should be avoided.

But they conclude: “The findings provide support for limiting consumption of certain types of ultra-processed food for long term health… future studies are warranted to improve the classification of ultra-processed foods and confirm our findings in other populations.”

In a linked editorial, researchers in New Zealand said that recommendations to avoid ultra-processed food may also give the impression that foods that are not ultra-processed, such as red meat, can be frequently consumed.

They argue that debate about the ultra-processed concept must not delay food policies that improve health, such as restrictions on marketing unhealthy foods to children, warning labels on nutritionally poor food products, and taxes on sugary drinks.

“Our focus should be on advocating for greater global adoption of these and more ambitious interventions and increasing safeguards to prevent policies from being influenced by multinational food companies with vested interests that do not align with public health or environmental goals,” they wrote.

Study details

Association of ultra-processed food consumption with all cause and cause specific mortality: population based cohort study. 

Zhe Fang,  Sinara Laurini Rossato, Mingyang Song et al.

Published in The BMJ on 8 May 2024

Abstract

Objective
To examine the association of ultra-processed food consumption with all cause mortality and cause specific mortality.

Design
Population based cohort study.

Setting
Female registered nurses from 11 US states in the Nurses’ Health Study (1984-2018) and male health professionals from all 50 US states in the Health Professionals Follow-up Study (1986-2018).

Participants
74 563 women and 39 501 men with no history of cancer, cardiovascular diseases, or diabetes at baseline.

Main outcome measures
Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association of ultra-processed food intake measured by semi-quantitative food frequency questionnaire every four years with all cause mortality and cause specific mortality due to cancer, cardiovascular, and other causes (including respiratory and neurodegenerative causes).

Results 
30 188 deaths of women and 18 005 deaths of men were documented during a median of 34 and 31 years of follow-up, respectively. Compared with those in the lowest quarter of ultra-processed food consumption, participants in the highest quarter had a 4% higher all cause mortality (hazard ratio 1.04, 95% confidence interval 1.01 to 1.07) and 9% higher mortality from causes other than cancer or cardiovascular diseases (1.09, 1.05 to 1.13). The all cause mortality rate among participants in the lowest and highest quarter was 1472 and 1536 per 100 000 person years, respectively. No associations were found for cancer or cardiovascular mortality. Meat/poultry/seafood based ready-to-eat products (for example, processed meat) consistently showed strong associations with mortality outcomes (hazard ratios ranged from 1.06 to 1.43). Sugar sweetened and artificially sweetened beverages (1.09, 1.07 to 1.12), dairy based desserts (1.07, 1.04 to 1.10), and ultra-processed breakfast food (1.04, 1.02 to 1.07) were also associated with higher all cause mortality. No consistent associations between ultra-processed foods and mortality were observed within each quarter of dietary quality assessed by the Alternative Healthy Eating Index-2010 score, whereas better dietary quality showed an inverse association with mortality within each quarter of ultra-processed foods.

Conclusions
This study found that a higher intake of ultra-processed foods was associated with slightly higher all cause mortality, driven by causes other than cancer and cardiovascular diseases. The associations varied across subgroups of ultra-processed foods, with meat/poultry/seafood based ready-to-eat products showing particularly strong associations with mortality.

 

The BMJ article – Association of ultra-processed food consumption with all cause and cause specific mortality: population based cohort study (Open access)

 

The BMJ linked editorial – Ultra-processed foods linked to higher mortality (Open access)

 

News-Medical.net article – Ultra-processed foods linked to higher risk of death in long-term study (Open access)

 

See more from MedicalBrief archives:

 

Ultra-processed foods linked to 32 health problems, large review finds

 

Ultra-processed foods should be labelled ‘addictive’, say scientists

 

Cancer threat raised by ultra-processed foods –  UK-led study

 

 

 

 

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